{"id":59468,"date":"2020-11-01T11:20:04","date_gmt":"2020-11-01T08:20:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.remgo.com\/11\/?p=59468"},"modified":"2026-01-16T12:10:00","modified_gmt":"2026-01-16T09:10:00","slug":"kara-bulutlar-yaklasiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.remgo.com\/11\/kara-bulutlar-yaklasiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Kara bulutlar yakla\u015f\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Dubai\u2019nin petrolle tan\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 50 y\u0131l \u00f6ncesine uzan\u0131yor fakat san\u0131lan\u0131n aksine buradaki zenginli\u011fin kayna\u011f\u0131 petrol de\u011fil. \u00c7\u0131kan petrol, toplam gelirin y\u00fczde ikisine denk geliyor. B\u00fcy\u00fcleyici zenginli\u011finin arkas\u0131nda turizm, in\u015faat ve finans sekt\u00f6rlerinden akan para var.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Son otuz y\u0131lda bu kaynaklara yap\u0131lan yat\u0131r\u0131mlar emirli\u011fi Arap d\u00fcnyas\u0131n\u0131n di\u011fer zenginlerinden ay\u0131rd\u0131 ama koronavir\u00fcs salg\u0131n\u0131yla ba\u015flayan ekonomik \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015fe engel olamad\u0131. Dubai\u2019yi Dubai yapan bu \u00fc\u00e7 alanda ciddi bir kriz var ve bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te Dubai\u2019nin y\u0131ld\u0131z\u0131 daha ne kadar parlayacak belli de\u011fil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ev fiyatlar\u0131 enflasyona g\u00f6re 2014 seviyelerinin alt\u0131nda, fiyatlar h\u0131zla d\u00fc\u015fmeye devam ediyor. Turizmin durumu parlak de\u011fil, yeterince turist gelmiyor. Gelir ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n kesildi\u011fi bu d\u00f6nemde harcanan kredilerin vadesi yakla\u015f\u0131yor. Beklenenin \u00e7ok alt\u0131nda seyreden ekonomik kalk\u0131nma da tabloya eklendi\u011finde Dubai\u2019yi zor g\u00fcnler bekliyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkelerini yak\u0131ndan tan\u0131yan uzmanlar yakla\u015fmakta olan tehlikeyle ilgili umut vermekte zorlan\u0131yor, hatta 2008&#8217;de ya\u015fanan \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015fe benzer b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fckte mali krizden bahsediliyor. \u0130ngiltere merkezli uluslararas\u0131 dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k \u015firketi Capital Economics, ya\u015fanan finansal sorunlara kar\u015f\u0131 Dubai\u2019nin <em>\u2018en savunmas\u0131z ekonomi\u2019<\/em> oldu\u011fu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Benzer ifadeler \u0130svi\u00e7re merkezli UBS bankas\u0131n\u0131n \u201c<em>Global Real Estate Bubble Index<\/em>\u201d adl\u0131 \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131nda da var.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">G\u00fczel g\u00fcnler mazide mi kald\u0131?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"instagram-media\" style=\"background: #FFF; border: 0; border-radius: 3px; box-shadow: 0 0 1px 0 rgba(0,0,0,0.5),0 1px 10px 0 rgba(0,0,0,0.15); margin: 1px; max-width: 540px; min-width: 326px; padding: 0; width: calc(100% - 2px);\" data-instgrm-captioned=\"\" data-instgrm-permalink=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/p\/BtWXvKhBswF\/?utm_source=ig_embed&amp;utm_campaign=loading\" data-instgrm-version=\"13\"><div style=\"padding: 16px;\">\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div style=\"display: flex; flex-direction: row; align-items: center;\">\n<div style=\"background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 50%; flex-grow: 0; height: 40px; margin-right: 14px; width: 40px;\">&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: flex; flex-direction: column; flex-grow: 1; justify-content: center;\">\n<div style=\"background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; margin-bottom: 6px; width: 100px;\">&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div style=\"background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; width: 60px;\">&nbsp;<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"padding: 19% 0;\">&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: block; height: 50px; margin: 0 auto 12px; width: 50px;\">&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div style=\"padding-top: 8px;\">\n<div style=\"color: #3897f0; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-weight: 550; line-height: 18px;\">View this post on Instagram<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"padding: 12.5% 0;\">&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: flex; flex-direction: row; margin-bottom: 14px; align-items: center;\">\n<div>\n<div style=\"background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 50%; height: 12.5px; width: 12.5px; transform: translateX(0px) translateY(7px);\">&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div style=\"background-color: #f4f4f4; height: 12.5px; transform: rotate(-45deg) translateX(3px) translateY(1px); width: 12.5px; flex-grow: 0; margin-right: 14px; margin-left: 2px;\">&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div style=\"background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 50%; height: 12.5px; width: 12.5px; transform: translateX(9px) translateY(-18px);\">&nbsp;<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin-left: 8px;\">\n<div style=\"background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 50%; flex-grow: 0; height: 20px; width: 20px;\">&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div style=\"width: 0; height: 0; border-top: 2px solid transparent; border-left: 6px solid #f4f4f4; border-bottom: 2px solid transparent; transform: translateX(16px) translateY(-4px) rotate(30deg);\">&nbsp;<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"margin-left: auto;\">\n<div style=\"width: 0px; border-top: 8px solid #F4F4F4; border-right: 8px solid transparent; transform: translateY(16px);\">&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div style=\"background-color: #f4f4f4; flex-grow: 0; height: 12px; width: 16px; transform: translateY(-4px);\">&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div style=\"width: 0; height: 0; border-top: 8px solid #F4F4F4; border-left: 8px solid transparent; transform: translateY(-4px) translateX(8px);\">&nbsp;<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div style=\"display: flex; flex-direction: column; flex-grow: 1; justify-content: center; margin-bottom: 24px;\">\n<div style=\"background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; margin-bottom: 6px; width: 224px;\">&nbsp;<\/div>\n<div style=\"background-color: #f4f4f4; border-radius: 4px; flex-grow: 0; height: 14px; width: 144px;\">&nbsp;<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"color: #c9c8cd; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 17px; margin-bottom: 0; margin-top: 8px; overflow: hidden; padding: 8px 0 7px; text-align: center; text-overflow: ellipsis; white-space: nowrap;\"><a style=\"color: #c9c8cd; font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-weight: normal; line-height: 17px; text-decoration: none;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/p\/BtWXvKhBswF\/?utm_source=ig_embed&amp;utm_campaign=loading\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">A post shared by Remzi Gokdag &#x1f58b;&#x1f4da;&#x2615;&#xfe0f;&#x1f4f7; (@remgok)<\/a> on <time style=\"font-family: Arial,sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 17px;\" datetime=\"2019-02-01T18:39:41+00:00\">Feb 1, 2019 at 10:39am PST<\/time><\/p>\n<\/div><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p><script async=\"\" src=\"\/\/www.instagram.com\/embed.js\"><\/script><br>Oysa her \u015fey d\u00fcne kadar toz pembeydi. Petrol\u00fc olmayan, yeterli tar\u0131m alan\u0131 bulunmayan, \u00fcretim ekonomisi neredeyse s\u0131f\u0131r olan emirlik, emlak ve turizm alanlar\u0131nda birbiri ard\u0131na mucizeler yaratm\u0131\u015f, Dubai\u2019nin b\u00fcy\u00fcl\u00fc havas\u0131 bir anda d\u00fcnyan\u0131n ilgi oda\u011f\u0131 olmu\u015ftu. \u0130n\u015faat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc b\u00f6lgedeki s\u0131cak paray\u0131 \u00e7ekmi\u015f, milyarlarca dolarl\u0131k dev yat\u0131r\u0131mlar kom\u015fu \u00fclkeleri k\u0131skand\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Heyecan veren bu kalk\u0131nma son on y\u0131l aral\u0131ks\u0131z devam etti. Her sene turist rekoru k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rken, l\u00fcks oteller rezervasyonlar\u0131n\u0131 aylar \u00f6ncesinden tamaml\u0131yordu. Pandemi nedeniyle ertelenen \u201cExpo 2020\u201d d\u00fcnya fuar\u0131na bu y\u0131l fazladan 14 milyon turist gelmesi bekleniyor, sadece bu kalemden 33 milyar dolar gelir tahmin ediliyordu. Koronavir\u00fcsle birlikte her \u015fey de\u011fi\u015fti. Salg\u0131n, bitmeyecekmi\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnen r\u00fcyan\u0131n sonu oldu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2009\u2019da benzer bir kriz ya\u015fanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Bug\u00fcnlerde herkes ister istemez 12 y\u0131l \u00f6nce ya\u015fananlar\u0131 hat\u0131rl\u0131yor. 2008\u2019de ABD&#8217;de ba\u015flayan mortgage kriziyle tetiklenen k\u00fcresel ekonomik bunal\u0131m Dubai\u2019yi sarsm\u0131\u015f, s\u0131cak paran\u0131n heyecan\u0131yla kimsenin dile getiremedi\u011fi emlak balonu 2009\u2019da patlam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>O d\u00f6nemde emlak fiyatlar\u0131nda y\u00fczde 70\u2019lere varan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler ya\u015fand\u0131. E\u015fyalar\u0131n\u0131 toplayamaya f\u0131rsat bulamayan yabanc\u0131lar solu\u011fu havaalan\u0131nda ald\u0131. Her \u015fey o kadar ani olmu\u015ftu ki gidenler arabalar\u0131n\u0131 anahtar\u0131yla birlikte otoparklara b\u0131rakm\u0131\u015f, caddelerde terkedilen l\u00fcks ara\u00e7lar\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6l kumlar\u0131 kaplam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Neyse ki devreye petrol zengini Abu Dabi girdi ve kriz atlat\u0131labildi. Dubai Emiri \u015eeyh Maktum\u2019un, kendisine 10 milyar dolarl\u0131k destek sa\u011flayan Abu Dabi Emiri \u015eeyh Halife\u2019ye jesti de b\u00fcy\u00fck oldu. 2010\u2019da tamamlanan d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en y\u00fcksek binas\u0131n\u0131n ad\u0131n\u0131 Burc Halife koydu. Sonras\u0131 malum, sanki o kriz hi\u00e7 ya\u015fanmam\u0131\u015f gibi dev yat\u0131r\u0131mlar devam etti. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f ve turizmin geli\u015fmesiyle kesintiye u\u011frayan y\u00fckseli\u015f durmad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ya\u015fanan ba\u015f d\u00f6nd\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ard\u0131ndan sessiz bir d\u00f6neme girdik. Konut fiyatlar\u0131nda y\u00fczde 40\u2019lara varan azalma var, kiralar da ayn\u0131 oranda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor ama projelere al\u0131c\u0131 \u00e7\u0131km\u0131yor. Turistik tesisler bo\u015f, ziyaret\u00e7i rekoru k\u0131ran plajlar \u0131ss\u0131z. Kentin Kapal\u0131\u00e7ar\u015f\u0131\u2019s\u0131 olarak bilinen Alt\u0131n \u00c7ar\u015f\u0131s\u0131&#8217;nda bo\u015f d\u00fckk\u00e2nlar g\u00f6ze \u00e7arp\u0131yor. D\u00fcnyaca \u00fcnl\u00fc al\u0131\u015fveri\u015f merkezlerinde kiral\u0131k d\u00fckk\u00e2n ilanlar\u0131 as\u0131l\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kara bulutlar Dubai\u2019ye yakla\u015f\u0131yor. Kas\u0131rgan\u0131n \u015fiddetini azaltmas\u0131 ya da y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015ftirmesi gerekiyor, yoksa onar\u0131lmas\u0131 zor kal\u0131c\u0131 hasar b\u0131rakacak. Herkes tehlikenin fark\u0131nda ama beklemekten ba\u015fka yapacak bir \u015fey de yok.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Bu yaz\u0131 1 Kas\u0131m 2020 tarihinde Cumhuriyet\u2019te yay\u0131nland\u0131. Di\u011fer <a href=\"https:\/\/www.remgo.com\/11\/cumhuriyet\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Pazar Yaz\u0131lar\u0131m<\/a>\u2026<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full is-style-default\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"235\" height=\"380\" src=\"https:\/\/www.remgo.com\/11\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/karabulutlar-yaklasiyor.jpeg\" alt=\"Kara Bulutlar Yakla\u015f\u0131yor\" class=\"wp-image-59469\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.remgo.com\/11\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/karabulutlar-yaklasiyor.jpeg 235w, https:\/\/www.remgo.com\/11\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/karabulutlar-yaklasiyor-60x97.jpeg 60w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 235px) 100vw, 235px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Kara Bulutlar Yakla\u015f\u0131yor<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Petrol\u00fc olmayan, yeterli tar\u0131m alan\u0131 bulunmayan, \u00fcretim ekonomisi neredeyse s\u0131f\u0131r olan emirlik, emlak ve turizm alanlar\u0131nda birbiri ard\u0131na mucizeler yaratm\u0131\u015f, Dubai\u2019nin b\u00fcy\u00fcl\u00fc havas\u0131 bir anda d\u00fcnyan\u0131n ilgi oda\u011f\u0131 olmu\u015ftu. Koronavir\u00fcsle birlikte her \u015fey de\u011fi\u015fti. Salg\u0131n, bitmeyecekmi\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnen r\u00fcyan\u0131n sonu oldu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":59470,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1338],"tags":[161,493,441],"class_list":["post-59468","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-remzi-gokdag-cumhuriyet-haber-arsivi-dubai","tag-cumhuriyet","tag-dubai","tag-pazar-yazilari"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.remgo.com\/11\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59468","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.remgo.com\/11\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.remgo.com\/11\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.remgo.com\/11\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.remgo.com\/11\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=59468"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.remgo.com\/11\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/59468\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.remgo.com\/11\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/59470"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.remgo.com\/11\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=59468"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.remgo.com\/11\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=59468"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.remgo.com\/11\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=59468"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}